Irrational Confidence

August 7, 2008

From today’s WSJ:

Zillow said that 62% of the 1,361 homeowners who responded [to a survey] said they believe the value of their home increased over the previous year.

How far off can those homeowners be from reality?

Zillow’s data show that 77% of U.S. homes depreciated in value over the past year, while only 19% appreciated.

Either Zillow interviewed people who still think it is 2001, or . . .

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